HyperX Retake Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere#11 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 0:1
WBT Academy#130 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisWBT Academy pick
63%59%
Natus Vincere · 4 mapsnearly even +4%WBT Academy · 18 maps
Miragepossible decider
31%47%
Natus Vincere · 9 mapsedge WBT Academy +16%WBT Academy · 11 maps
Dust2Natus Vincere ban
40%71%
Natus Vincere · 6 mapsedge WBT Academy +31%WBT Academy · 10 maps
NukeWBT Academy ban
60%38%
Natus Vincere · 6 mapsedge Natus Vincere +22%WBT Academy · 9 maps
AncientNatus Vincere ban
38%60%
Natus Vincere · 4 mapsedge WBT Academy +22%WBT Academy · 6 maps
InfernoWBT Academy ban
43%50%
Natus Vincere · 10 mapsedge WBT Academy +7%WBT Academy · 0 maps
CacheNatus Vincere pick
70%50%
Natus Vincere · 6 mapsedge Natus Vincere +20%WBT Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNatus Vincere remove Dust2
2. BanWBT Academy remove Inferno
3. PickNatus Vincere take Cache
4. PickWBT Academy take Anubis
5. BanWBT Academy remove Nuke
6. BanNatus Vincere remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (31% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Natus Vincere 50%WBT Academy 50%
The model gave 50% on Natus Vincere — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere · 90%
Series resultWBT Academy 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1