ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · BO3
result vs prediction
NAVI Junior#127 in the world · win 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Banger Gang pick
38%56%
NAVI Junior · 12 mapsedge Banger Gang +18%Banger Gang · 5 maps
MirageNAVI Junior pick
71%67%
NAVI Junior · 13 mapsnearly even +4%Banger Gang · 2 maps
Anubispossible decider
46%67%
NAVI Junior · 9 mapsedge Banger Gang +21%Banger Gang · 2 maps
NukeBanger Gang ban
38%50%
NAVI Junior · 9 mapsedge Banger Gang +12%Banger Gang · 0 maps
AncientBanger Gang ban
36%40%
NAVI Junior · 7 mapsnearly even -4%Banger Gang · 1 map
CacheNAVI Junior ban
33%60%
NAVI Junior · 2 mapsedge Banger Gang +27%Banger Gang · 1 map
InfernoNAVI Junior ban
33%40%
NAVI Junior · 2 mapsedge Banger Gang +7%Banger Gang · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNAVI Junior remove Cache
2. BanBanger Gang remove Ancient
3. PickNAVI Junior take Mirage
4. PickBanger Gang take Dust2
5. BanBanger Gang remove Nuke
6. BanNAVI Junior remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (46% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
NAVI Junior 30%Banger Gang 70%
The model gave 70% on Banger Gang — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Mirageprediction correct13:9
NAVI Junior 58%Banger Gang 42%
The model gave 58% on NAVI Junior — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Model check result
Model favoriteNAVI Junior · 73%
Series resultNAVI Junior 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2