CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
NAVI Junior#112 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Fire Flux#128 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
50%53%
NAVI Junior · 6 mapsnearly even -3%Fire Flux · 13 maps
AnubisFire Flux pick
36%57%
NAVI Junior · 7 mapsedge Fire Flux +21%Fire Flux · 10 maps
MirageNAVI Junior pick
56%42%
NAVI Junior · 5 mapsedge NAVI Junior +14%Fire Flux · 8 maps
InfernoNAVI Junior ban
40%62%
NAVI Junior · 1 mapedge Fire Flux +22%Fire Flux · 9 maps
NukeFire Flux ban
38%60%
NAVI Junior · 4 mapsedge Fire Flux +22%Fire Flux · 6 maps
AncientFire Flux ban
44%29%
NAVI Junior · 5 mapsedge NAVI Junior +15%Fire Flux · 3 maps
CacheNAVI Junior ban
50%50%
NAVI Junior · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Fire Flux · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNAVI Junior remove Inferno
2. BanFire Flux remove Ancient
3. PickNAVI Junior take Mirage
4. PickFire Flux take Anubis
5. BanFire Flux remove Nuke
6. BanNAVI Junior remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (50% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:1
NAVI Junior 66%Fire Flux 34%
The model gave 66% on NAVI Junior — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Infernoprediction correct14:16
NAVI Junior 27%Fire Flux 73%
The model gave 73% on Fire Flux — the map was taken by Fire Flux.
Dust2prediction correct10:13
NAVI Junior 47%Fire Flux 53%
The model gave 53% on Fire Flux — the map was taken by Fire Flux.
Model check result
Model favoriteFire Flux · 56%
Series resultFire Flux 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3