FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
NAVI Junior#127 in the world · loss 6:13series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 6:13
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageNext Up ban
70%50%
NAVI Junior · 19 mapsedge NAVI Junior +20%Next Up · 0 maps
Dust2possible decider
41%50%
NAVI Junior · 18 mapsedge Next Up +9%Next Up · 0 maps
AnubisNext Up ban
56%50%
NAVI Junior · 12 mapsedge NAVI Junior +6%Next Up · 0 maps
AncientNAVI Junior ban
29%50%
NAVI Junior · 10 mapsedge Next Up +21%Next Up · 0 maps
NukeNAVI Junior ban
38%50%
NAVI Junior · 9 mapsedge Next Up +12%Next Up · 0 maps
CacheNAVI Junior ban
43%50%
NAVI Junior · 3 mapsedge Next Up +7%Next Up · 0 maps
DefaultNext Up ban
57%50%
NAVI Junior · 3 mapsedge NAVI Junior +7%Next Up · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNAVI Junior remove Cache
2. BanNext Up remove Mirage
3. BanNAVI Junior remove Ancient
4. BanNext Up remove Default
5. BanNAVI Junior remove Nuke
6. BanNext Up remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (41% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
NAVI Junior 41%Next Up 59%
The model gave 59% on Next Up — the map was taken by Next Up.
Model check result
Model favoriteNAVI Junior · 71%
Series resultNext Up 6:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1