PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#21 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Aurora#5 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAurora pick
70%61%
Nemiga · 19 mapsedge Nemiga +9%Aurora · 14 maps
Dust2Nemiga ban
62%57%
Nemiga · 22 mapsedge Nemiga +5%Aurora · 10 maps
AncientAurora ban
63%40%
Nemiga · 26 mapsedge Nemiga +23%Aurora · 1 map
AnubisNemiga pick
70%60%
Nemiga · 16 mapsedge Nemiga +10%Aurora · 11 maps
CacheAurora ban
65%62%
Nemiga · 16 mapsnearly even +3%Aurora · 9 maps
Nukepossible decider
65%58%
Nemiga · 16 mapsedge Nemiga +7%Aurora · 8 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
60%53%
Nemiga · 1 mapedge Nemiga +7%Aurora · 11 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Inferno
2. BanAurora remove Ancient
3. PickNemiga take Anubis
4. PickAurora take Mirage
5. BanAurora remove Cache
6. BanNemiga remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (65% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed14:16
Nemiga 62%Aurora 38%
The model gave 62% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Aurora.
Anubisprediction missed4:13
Nemiga 58%Aurora 42%
The model gave 58% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Aurora.
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora · 79%
Series resultAurora 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2