PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO5
result vs prediction
Nemiga#46 in the world · win 3:0series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 3:0
B8#15 in the world · loss 0:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientB8 pick
45%60%
Nemiga · 16 mapsedge B8 +15%B8 · 11 maps
Dust2B8 pick
56%67%
Nemiga · 14 mapsedge B8 +11%B8 · 11 maps
MirageNemiga pick
67%43%
Nemiga · 8 mapsedge Nemiga +24%B8 · 10 maps
AnubisB8 ban
73%50%
Nemiga · 11 mapsedge Nemiga +23%B8 · 0 maps
NukeNemiga pick
54%67%
Nemiga · 9 mapsedge B8 +13%B8 · 2 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%67%
Nemiga · 4 mapsedge B8 +17%B8 · 2 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
60%56%
Nemiga · 1 mapnearly even +4%B8 · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Inferno
2. BanB8 remove Anubis
3. PickNemiga take Mirage
4. PickB8 take Ancient
5. PickNemiga take Nuke
6. PickB8 take Dust2
DeciderCache (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:10
Nemiga 36%B8 64%
The model gave 64% on B8 — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
Nemiga 70%B8 30%
The model gave 70% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Ancientprediction missed19:17
Nemiga 38%B8 62%
The model gave 62% on B8 — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 58%
Series resultNemiga 3:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3