GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#22 in the world · win 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FORZE Reload#75 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Nemiga ban
33%40%
Nemiga · 8 mapsedge FORZE Reload +7%FORZE Reload · 1 map
Miragepossible decider
56%43%
Nemiga · 5 mapsedge Nemiga +13%FORZE Reload · 3 maps
AncientNemiga pick
50%60%
Nemiga · 6 mapsedge FORZE Reload +10%FORZE Reload · 1 map
AnubisFORZE Reload ban
71%60%
Nemiga · 3 mapsedge Nemiga +11%FORZE Reload · 1 map
OverpassFORZE Reload ban
50%50%
Nemiga · 4 mapsnearly even +0%FORZE Reload · 0 maps
CacheNemiga ban
50%57%
Nemiga · 0 mapsedge FORZE Reload +7%FORZE Reload · 3 maps
NukeFORZE Reload pick
60%67%
Nemiga · 1 mapedge FORZE Reload +7%FORZE Reload · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Cache
2. BanFORZE Reload remove Anubis
3. PickNemiga take Ancient
4. PickFORZE Reload take Nuke
5. BanFORZE Reload remove Overpass
6. BanNemiga remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (56% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Nemiga 40%FORZE Reload 60%
The model gave 60% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Anubisprediction correct13:9
Nemiga 65%FORZE Reload 35%
The model gave 65% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 70%
Series resultNemiga 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2