CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#22 in the world · win 1:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGothic pick
60%50%
Nemiga · 26 mapsedge Nemiga +10%Gothic · 4 maps
Dust2Nemiga ban
60%50%
Nemiga · 21 mapedge Nemiga +10%Gothic · 2 maps
AnubisNemiga pick
75%56%
Nemiga · 16 mapsedge Nemiga +19%Gothic · 5 maps
Miragepossible decider
73%43%
Nemiga · 18 mapsedge Nemiga +30%Gothic · 3 maps
CacheGothic ban
68%50%
Nemiga · 15 mapsedge Nemiga +18%Gothic · 0 maps
NukeGothic ban
63%50%
Nemiga · 15 mapsedge Nemiga +13%Gothic · 0 maps
DefaultNemiga ban
33%50%
Nemiga · 2 mapsedge Gothic +17%Gothic · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Default
2. BanGothic remove Nuke
3. PickNemiga take Anubis
4. PickGothic take Ancient
5. BanGothic remove Cache
6. BanNemiga remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (73% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Nemiga 33%Gothic 67%
The model gave 67% on Gothic — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 86%
Series resultNemiga 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1