CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#22 in the world · win 2:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJust Players pick
76%56%
Nemiga · 13 mapsedge Nemiga +20%Just Players · 39 maps
AncientNemiga ban
52%59%
Nemiga · 21 mapedge Just Players +7%Just Players · 28 maps
Dust2possible decider
60%39%
Nemiga · 16 mapsedge Nemiga +21%Just Players · 27 maps
NukeJust Players ban
63%38%
Nemiga · 12 mapsedge Nemiga +25%Just Players · 20 maps
AnubisNemiga pick
72%50%
Nemiga · 14 mapsedge Nemiga +22%Just Players · 10 maps
CacheJust Players ban
62%36%
Nemiga · 9 mapsedge Nemiga +26%Just Players · 10 maps
DefaultNemiga ban
33%67%
Nemiga · 2 mapsedge Just Players +34%Just Players · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Default
2. BanJust Players remove Cache
3. PickNemiga take Anubis
4. PickJust Players take Mirage
5. BanJust Players remove Nuke
6. BanNemiga remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (60% / 39%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:9
Nemiga 70%Just Players 30%
The model gave 70% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Cacheprediction correct13:6
Nemiga 76%Just Players 24%
The model gave 76% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 80%
Series resultNemiga 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2