CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#22 in the world · win 2:0series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
60%41%
Nemiga · 26 mapsedge Nemiga +19%Lavked · 18 maps
Dust2Lavked pick
58%54%
Nemiga · 20 mapsnearly even +4%Lavked · 24 maps
MirageLavked ban
73%39%
Nemiga · 18 mapsedge Nemiga +34%Lavked · 24 maps
NukeNemiga ban
63%45%
Nemiga · 15 mapsedge Nemiga +18%Lavked · 18 maps
AnubisNemiga pick
74%53%
Nemiga · 15 mapsedge Nemiga +21%Lavked · 11 maps
CacheLavked ban
68%40%
Nemiga · 15 mapsedge Nemiga +28%Lavked · 1 map
InfernoNemiga ban
60%36%
Nemiga · 1 mapedge Nemiga +24%Lavked · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Inferno
2. BanLavked remove Cache
3. PickNemiga take Anubis
4. PickLavked take Dust2
5. BanLavked remove Mirage
6. BanNemiga remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (60% / 41%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:5
Nemiga 73%Lavked 27%
The model gave 73% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
Nemiga 52%Lavked 48%
The model gave 52% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 90%
Series resultNemiga 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2