CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#22 in the world · win 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Oramond#119 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
55%56%
Nemiga · 7 mapsnearly even -1%Oramond · 5 maps
Dust2Nemiga ban
63%40%
Nemiga · 4 mapsedge Nemiga +23%Oramond · 6 maps
AnubisOramond pick
50%56%
Nemiga · 4 mapsedge Oramond +6%Oramond · 5 maps
AncientOramond ban
64%60%
Nemiga · 7 mapsnearly even +4%Oramond · 1 map
NukeOramond ban
56%33%
Nemiga · 5 mapsedge Nemiga +23%Oramond · 2 maps
OverpassNemiga pick
80%60%
Nemiga · 6 mapsedge Nemiga +20%Oramond · 1 map
DefaultNemiga ban
50%60%
Nemiga · 0 mapsedge Oramond +10%Oramond · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Default
2. BanOramond remove Ancient
3. PickNemiga take Overpass
4. PickOramond take Anubis
5. BanOramond remove Nuke
6. BanNemiga remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (55% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct16:13
Nemiga 75%Oramond 25%
The model gave 75% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Anubisprediction missed13:4
Nemiga 42%Oramond 58%
The model gave 58% on Oramond — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 68%
Series resultNemiga 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2