CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga#22 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Phantom#88 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientPhantom pick
36%57%
Nemiga · 7 mapsedge Phantom +21%Phantom · 17 maps
Dust2possible decider
43%54%
Nemiga · 10 mapsedge Phantom +11%Phantom · 9 maps
NukeNemiga pick
67%57%
Nemiga · 5 mapsedge Nemiga +10%Phantom · 10 maps
AnubisPhantom ban
67%50%
Nemiga · 5 mapsedge Nemiga +17%Phantom · 6 maps
MiragePhantom ban
57%40%
Nemiga · 3 mapsedge Nemiga +17%Phantom · 6 maps
OverpassNemiga ban
40%78%
Nemiga · 1 mapedge Phantom +38%Phantom · 5 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
50%75%
Nemiga · 0 mapsedge Phantom +25%Phantom · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNemiga remove Inferno
2. BanPhantom remove Anubis
3. PickNemiga take Nuke
4. PickPhantom take Ancient
5. BanPhantom remove Mirage
6. BanNemiga remove Overpass
DeciderDust2 (43% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
Nemiga 28%Phantom 72%
The model gave 72% on Phantom — the map was taken by Phantom.
Cacheprediction correct13:11
Nemiga 53%Phantom 47%
The model gave 53% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
Nemiga 39%Phantom 61%
The model gave 61% on Phantom — the map was taken by Phantom.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom · 54%
Series resultPhantom 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3