FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 3:13
aimclub#98 in the world · win 13:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageNext Up ban
50%58%
Next Up · 0 mapsedge aimclub +8%aimclub · 8 maps
Ancientaimclub ban
50%30%
Next Up · 0 mapsedge Next Up +20%aimclub · 6 maps
AnubisNext Up ban
50%60%
Next Up · 0 mapsedge aimclub +10%aimclub · 6 maps
Dust2possible decider
60%33%
Next Up · 1 mapedge Next Up +27%aimclub · 5 maps
InfernoNext Up ban
40%67%
Next Up · 1 mapedge aimclub +27%aimclub · 5 maps
Cacheaimclub ban
50%57%
Next Up · 0 mapsedge aimclub +7%aimclub · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNext Up remove Anubis
2. Banaimclub remove Ancient
3. BanNext Up remove Mirage
4. Banaimclub remove Cache
5. BanNext Up remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (60% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct3:13
Next Up 25%aimclub 75%
The model gave 75% on aimclub — the map was taken by aimclub.
Model check result
Model favoriteaimclub · 74%
Series resultaimclub 3:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1