CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nexus#159 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
38%77%
Nexus · 4 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +39%Bushido Wildcats · 40 maps
MirageNexus ban
57%57%
Nexus · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 31 map
NukeNexus ban
40%52%
Nexus · 1 mapedge Bushido Wildcats +12%Bushido Wildcats · 27 maps
CacheBushido Wildcats ban
44%56%
Nexus · 5 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +12%Bushido Wildcats · 14 maps
AnubisNexus pick
50%50%
Nexus · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Bushido Wildcats · 12 maps
InfernoBushido Wildcats ban
50%36%
Nexus · 2 mapsedge Nexus +14%Bushido Wildcats · 10 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%78%
Nexus · 1 mapedge Bushido Wildcats +18%Bushido Wildcats · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNexus remove Nuke
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Inferno
3. PickNexus take Anubis
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Cache
6. BanNexus remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (60% / 78%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
Nexus 14%Bushido Wildcats 86%
The model gave 86% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Nexus.
Infernoprediction missed4:13
Nexus 67%Bushido Wildcats 33%
The model gave 67% on Nexus — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
Nexus 39%Bushido Wildcats 61%
The model gave 61% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 72%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3