CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nexus#159 in the world · win 2:0series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Permitta#103 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeNexus ban
40%45%
Nexus · 1 mapedge Permitta +5%Permitta · 18 maps
AncientPermitta ban
67%38%
Nexus · 2 mapsedge Nexus +29%Permitta · 12 maps
AnubisNexus pick
44%46%
Nexus · 5 mapsnearly even -2%Permitta · 9 maps
MirageNexus ban
50%60%
Nexus · 2 mapsedge Permitta +10%Permitta · 11 maps
CachePermitta pick
38%70%
Nexus · 4 mapsedge Permitta +32%Permitta · 6 maps
Dust2Permitta ban
38%30%
Nexus · 4 mapsedge Nexus +8%Permitta · 6 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%38%
Nexus · 1 mapedge Nexus +22%Permitta · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNexus remove Nuke
2. BanPermitta remove Dust2
3. PickNexus take Anubis
4. PickPermitta take Cache
5. BanPermitta remove Ancient
6. BanNexus remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (60% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:2
Nexus 19%Permitta 81%
The model gave 81% on Permitta — the map was taken by Nexus.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Nexus 79%Permitta 21%
The model gave 79% on Nexus — the map was taken by Nexus.
Model check result
Model favoritePermitta · 58%
Series resultNexus 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2