CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nexus#139 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
43%44%
Nexus · 3 mapsnearly even -1%Spirit Academy · 12 maps
AncientSpirit Academy pick
67%73%
Nexus · 2 mapsedge Spirit Academy +6%Spirit Academy · 11 maps
CacheNexus ban
43%50%
Nexus · 3 mapsedge Spirit Academy +7%Spirit Academy · 8 maps
NukeNexus ban
40%33%
Nexus · 1 mapedge Nexus +7%Spirit Academy · 8 maps
AnubisNexus pick
44%71%
Nexus · 5 mapsedge Spirit Academy +27%Spirit Academy · 3 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
50%50%
Nexus · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Spirit Academy · 6 maps
InfernoSpirit Academy ban
50%50%
Nexus · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Spirit Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNexus remove Nuke
2. BanSpirit Academy remove Inferno
3. PickNexus take Anubis
4. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
5. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
6. BanNexus remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (43% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed1:13
Nexus 52%Spirit Academy 48%
The model gave 52% on Nexus — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Cacheprediction correct8:13
Nexus 40%Spirit Academy 60%
The model gave 60% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 56%
Series resultSpirit Academy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2