Stake Ranked Episode 6 Closed Qualifier · BO3
pre-match prediction
NT#92 in the worldseries probability
49%51%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
aimclub#94 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Mirageaimclub pick
43%56%
NT · 10 mapsedge aimclub +13%aimclub · 12 maps
Dust2NT pick
62%36%
NT · 9 mapsedge NT +26%aimclub · 10 maps
AnubisNT ban
33%60%
NT · 5 mapsedge aimclub +27%aimclub · 6 maps
Ancientaimclub ban
43%36%
NT · 3 mapsedge NT +7%aimclub · 7 maps
Cachepossible decider
44%44%
NT · 5 mapsnearly even +0%aimclub · 5 maps
InfernoNT ban
60%64%
NT · 1 mapnearly even -4%aimclub · 7 maps
Nukeaimclub ban
50%50%
NT · 4 mapsnearly even +0%aimclub · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNT remove Inferno
2. Banaimclub remove Nuke
3. PickNT take Dust2
4. Pickaimclub take Mirage
5. Banaimclub remove Ancient
6. BanNT remove Anubis
DeciderCache (44% / 44%)