FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
NT#92 in the world · win 2:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLazer Cats pick
40%67%
NT · 1 mapedge Lazer Cats +27%Lazer Cats · 8 maps
Dust2Lazer Cats ban
60%33%
NT · 6 mapsedge NT +27%Lazer Cats · 2 maps
MirageNT pick
56%57%
NT · 5 mapsnearly even -1%Lazer Cats · 3 maps
AnubisNT ban
29%75%
NT · 3 mapsedge Lazer Cats +46%Lazer Cats · 4 maps
NukeNT ban
43%43%
NT · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Lazer Cats · 3 maps
Infernopossible decider
60%63%
NT · 1 mapnearly even -3%Lazer Cats · 4 maps
CacheLazer Cats ban
50%50%
NT · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Lazer Cats · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNT remove Anubis
2. BanLazer Cats remove Cache
3. PickNT take Mirage
4. PickLazer Cats take Ancient
5. BanLazer Cats remove Dust2
6. BanNT remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (60% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:2
NT 51%Lazer Cats 49%
The model gave 51% on NT — the map was taken by NT.
Anubisprediction correct9:13
NT 11%Lazer Cats 89%
The model gave 89% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
NT 75%Lazer Cats 25%
The model gave 75% on NT — the map was taken by NT.
Model check result
Model favoriteNT · 56%
Series resultNT 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3