ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · win 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BBL#49 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeNinjas in Pyjamas pick
70%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 19 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +20%BBL · 14 maps
MirageBBL ban
50%46%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 16 mapsnearly even +4%BBL · 9 maps
AncientBBL pick
57%64%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 17 mapsedge BBL +7%BBL · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
60%54%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 11 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +6%BBL · 9 maps
CacheNinjas in Pyjamas ban
44%36%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 12 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +8%BBL · 7 maps
AnubisBBL ban
50%40%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 4 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +10%BBL · 1 map
Dust2Ninjas in Pyjamas ban
33%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 mapsedge BBL +17%BBL · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Dust2
2. BanBBL remove Anubis
3. PickNinjas in Pyjamas take Nuke
4. PickBBL take Ancient
5. BanBBL remove Mirage
6. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Cache
DeciderInferno (60% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:6
Ninjas in Pyjamas 40%BBL 60%
The model gave 60% on BBL — the map was taken by Ninjas in Pyjamas.
Cacheprediction correct13:11
Ninjas in Pyjamas 61%BBL 39%
The model gave 61% on Ninjas in Pyjamas — the map was taken by Ninjas in Pyjamas.
Model check result
Model favoriteNinjas in Pyjamas · 66%
Series resultNinjas in Pyjamas 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2