Esports World Cup 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · loss 5:13series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 5:13
Legacy#7 in the world · win 13:5The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientLegacy ban
47%36%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 15 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +11%Legacy · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
72%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 14 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +22%Legacy · 6 maps
MirageNinjas in Pyjamas ban
46%78%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 9 mapsedge Legacy +32%Legacy · 5 maps
InfernoNinjas in Pyjamas ban
56%64%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 mapsedge Legacy +8%Legacy · 7 maps
Dust2Ninjas in Pyjamas ban
40%62%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 1 mapedge Legacy +22%Legacy · 9 maps
AnubisLegacy ban
44%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 mapsedge Legacy +6%Legacy · 0 maps
OverpassLegacy ban
50%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Legacy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Dust2
2. BanLegacy remove Anubis
3. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Inferno
4. BanLegacy remove Ancient
5. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Mirage
6. BanLegacy remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (72% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed5:13
Ninjas in Pyjamas 50%Legacy 50%
The model gave 50% on Ninjas in Pyjamas — the map was taken by Legacy.
Model check result
Model favoriteLegacy · 63%
Series resultLegacy 5:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1