Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · loss 14:16series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 14:16
M80#27 in the world · win 16:14The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
59%56%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 13 mapsnearly even +3%M80 · 5 maps
InfernoNinjas in Pyjamas ban
55%54%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 7 mapsnearly even +1%M80 · 9 maps
MirageM80 ban
44%43%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 12 mapsnearly even +1%M80 · 3 maps
NukeM80 ban
68%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 15 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +18%M80 · 0 maps
CacheNinjas in Pyjamas ban
20%70%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 6 mapsedge M80 +50%M80 · 6 maps
Dust2Ninjas in Pyjamas ban
38%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 4 mapsedge M80 +12%M80 · 6 maps
AnubisM80 ban
44%40%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 mapsnearly even +4%M80 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Dust2
2. BanM80 remove Nuke
3. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Cache
4. BanM80 remove Anubis
5. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Inferno
6. BanM80 remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (59% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed14:16
Ninjas in Pyjamas 51%M80 49%
The model gave 51% on Ninjas in Pyjamas — the map was taken by M80.
Model check result
Model favoriteNinjas in Pyjamas · 56%
Series resultM80 14:16
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1