ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Ninjas in Pyjamas#26 in the world · loss 4:13series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 4:13
Sangal#48 in the world · win 13:4The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
68%73%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 18 mapsedge Sangal +5%Sangal · 7 maps
AncientSangal ban
57%56%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 17 mapsnearly even +1%Sangal · 5 maps
MirageSangal ban
47%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 15 mapsnearly even -3%Sangal · 6 maps
CacheNinjas in Pyjamas ban
38%67%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 9 mapsedge Sangal +29%Sangal · 8 maps
Dust2Ninjas in Pyjamas ban
33%40%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 5 mapsedge Sangal +7%Sangal · 6 maps
InfernoSangal ban
57%50%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 10 mapsedge Ninjas in Pyjamas +7%Sangal · 0 maps
AnubisNinjas in Pyjamas ban
50%63%
Ninjas in Pyjamas · 4 mapsedge Sangal +13%Sangal · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Dust2
2. BanSangal remove Inferno
3. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Cache
4. BanSangal remove Ancient
5. BanNinjas in Pyjamas remove Anubis
6. BanSangal remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (68% / 73%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct4:13
Ninjas in Pyjamas 45%Sangal 55%
The model gave 55% on Sangal — the map was taken by Sangal.
Model check result
Model favoriteNinjas in Pyjamas · 67%
Series resultSangal 4:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1