ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Noir Verse#124 in the world · win 2:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Entropy#159 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNoir Verse pick
50%50%
Noir Verse · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Entropy · 6 maps
MirageNoir Verse ban
50%40%
Noir Verse · 2 mapsedge Noir Verse +10%Entropy · 6 maps
AnubisEntropy pick
50%40%
Noir Verse · 0 mapsedge Noir Verse +10%Entropy · 6 maps
OverpassEntropy ban
50%38%
Noir Verse · 0 mapsedge Noir Verse +12%Entropy · 4 maps
NukeEntropy ban
71%50%
Noir Verse · 3 mapsedge Noir Verse +21%Entropy · 0 maps
InfernoNoir Verse ban
50%33%
Noir Verse · 0 mapsedge Noir Verse +17%Entropy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNoir Verse remove Inferno
2. BanEntropy remove Nuke
3. PickNoir Verse take Ancient
4. PickEntropy take Anubis
5. BanEntropy remove Overpass
6. BanNoir Verse remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:11
Noir Verse 53%Entropy 47%
The model gave 53% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
Noir Verse 47%Entropy 53%
The model gave 53% on Entropy — the map was taken by Entropy.
Mirageprediction correct13:2
Noir Verse 60%Entropy 40%
The model gave 60% on Noir Verse — the map was taken by Noir Verse.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 53%
Series resultNoir Verse 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3