NODWIN Clutch Series 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nordic Partners#104 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
BET-M#132 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeNordic Partners ban
50%54%
Nordic Partners · 0 mapsnearly even -4%BET-M · 9 maps
AncientBET-M ban
33%33%
Nordic Partners · 2 mapsnearly even +0%BET-M · 5 maps
Dust2BET-M ban
50%36%
Nordic Partners · 0 mapsedge Nordic Partners +14%BET-M · 7 maps
InfernoBET-M pick
40%40%
Nordic Partners · 1 mapnearly even +0%BET-M · 6 maps
MirageNordic Partners ban
50%55%
Nordic Partners · 0 mapsedge BET-M +5%BET-M · 7 maps
AnubisNordic Partners pick
50%67%
Nordic Partners · 2 mapsedge BET-M +17%BET-M · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNordic Partners remove Nuke
2. BanBET-M remove Ancient
3. PickNordic Partners take Anubis
4. PickBET-M take Inferno
5. BanBET-M remove Dust2
6. BanNordic Partners remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed2:13
Nordic Partners 61%BET-M 39%
The model gave 61% on Nordic Partners — the map was taken by BET-M.
Anubisprediction missed13:11
Nordic Partners 36%BET-M 64%
The model gave 64% on BET-M — the map was taken by Nordic Partners.
Infernoprediction missed3:13
Nordic Partners 50%BET-M 50%
The model gave 50% on Nordic Partners — the map was taken by BET-M.
Model check result
Model favoriteNordic Partners · 55%
Series resultBET-M 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3