Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
NOVAQ#237 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
67%50%
NOVAQ · 5 mapsedge NOVAQ +17%Rune Eaters · 20 maps
MirageRune Eaters pick
57%60%
NOVAQ · 3 mapsnearly even -3%Rune Eaters · 16 maps
AncientNOVAQ pick
56%50%
NOVAQ · 5 mapsedge NOVAQ +6%Rune Eaters · 12 maps
InfernoRune Eaters ban
57%42%
NOVAQ · 3 mapsedge NOVAQ +15%Rune Eaters · 8 maps
DefaultNOVAQ ban
50%71%
NOVAQ · 0 mapsedge Rune Eaters +21%Rune Eaters · 3 maps
AnubisNOVAQ ban
50%67%
NOVAQ · 0 mapsedge Rune Eaters +17%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
50%67%
NOVAQ · 0 mapsedge Rune Eaters +17%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNOVAQ remove Anubis
2. BanRune Eaters remove Inferno
3. PickNOVAQ take Ancient
4. PickRune Eaters take Mirage
5. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
6. BanNOVAQ remove Default
DeciderDust2 (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct1:13
NOVAQ 31%Rune Eaters 69%
The model gave 69% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Ancientprediction missed7:13
NOVAQ 58%Rune Eaters 42%
The model gave 58% on NOVAQ — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteNOVAQ · 58%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2