iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
NRG#30 in the world · win 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wildcard#46 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoWildcard pick
42%45%
NRG · 8 mapsnearly even -3%Wildcard · 7 maps
CacheNRG pick
69%50%
NRG · 12 mapsedge NRG +19%Wildcard · 2 maps
MirageNRG ban
55%38%
NRG · 7 mapsedge NRG +17%Wildcard · 4 maps
NukeWildcard ban
73%25%
NRG · 7 mapsedge NRG +48%Wildcard · 4 maps
Dust2NRG ban
78%50%
NRG · 5 mapsedge NRG +28%Wildcard · 4 maps
AncientWildcard ban
55%50%
NRG · 7 mapsedge NRG +5%Wildcard · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNRG remove Mirage
2. BanWildcard remove Ancient
3. PickNRG take Cache
4. PickWildcard take Inferno
5. BanWildcard remove Nuke
6. BanNRG remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:7
NRG 43%Wildcard 57%
The model gave 57% on Wildcard — the map was taken by NRG.
Cacheprediction correct13:9
NRG 71%Wildcard 29%
The model gave 71% on NRG — the map was taken by NRG.
Model check result
Model favoriteNRG · 64%
Series resultNRG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2