PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#45 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
1win#38 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust21win pick
44%58%
Nuclear TigeRES · 12 mapsedge 1win +14%1win · 22 maps
Ancientpossible decider
67%60%
Nuclear TigeRES · 17 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +7%1win · 16 maps
AnubisNuclear TigeRES pick
58%33%
Nuclear TigeRES · 15 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +25%1win · 11 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
20%60%
Nuclear TigeRES · 6 mapsedge 1win +40%1win · 11 maps
CacheNuclear TigeRES ban
71%62%
Nuclear TigeRES · 3 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +9%1win · 9 maps
Inferno1win ban
73%67%
Nuclear TigeRES · 7 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +6%1win · 5 maps
Nuke1win ban
50%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 10 mapsnearly even +0%1win · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
2. Ban1win remove Nuke
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Anubis
4. Pick1win take Dust2
5. Ban1win remove Inferno
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Cache
DeciderAncient (67% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
Nuclear TigeRES 34%1win 66%
The model gave 66% on 1win — the map was taken by 1win.
Anubisprediction missed8:13
Nuclear TigeRES 76%1win 24%
The model gave 76% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by 1win.
Model check result
Model favorite1win · 68%
Series result1win 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2