NODWIN Clutch Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#54 in the world · win 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2CYBERSHOKE pick
46%56%
Nuclear TigeRES · 9 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +10%CYBERSHOKE · 12 maps
Ancientpossible decider
58%64%
Nuclear TigeRES · 8 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +6%CYBERSHOKE · 10 maps
MirageCYBERSHOKE ban
75%53%
Nuclear TigeRES · 4 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +22%CYBERSHOKE · 11 maps
AnubisNuclear TigeRES pick
69%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 9 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +19%CYBERSHOKE · 2 maps
NukeNuclear TigeRES ban
55%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 7 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +5%CYBERSHOKE · 2 maps
OverpassNuclear TigeRES ban
50%40%
Nuclear TigeRES · 0 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +10%CYBERSHOKE · 6 maps
InfernoCYBERSHOKE ban
67%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 2 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +17%CYBERSHOKE · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Overpass
2. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Inferno
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Anubis
4. PickCYBERSHOKE take Dust2
5. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Mirage
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (58% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:8
Nuclear TigeRES 37%CYBERSHOKE 63%
The model gave 63% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Anubisprediction correct13:4
Nuclear TigeRES 72%CYBERSHOKE 28%
The model gave 72% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteNuclear TigeRES · 62%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2