CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nuclear TigeRES#53 in the world · win 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Illyrians#126 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Illyrians pick
48%45%
Nuclear TigeRES · 27 mapsnearly even +3%Illyrians · 18 maps
AncientIllyrians ban
69%53%
Nuclear TigeRES · 25 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +16%Illyrians · 11 maps
Anubispossible decider
58%70%
Nuclear TigeRES · 22 mapsedge Illyrians +12%Illyrians · 6 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
30%54%
Nuclear TigeRES · 6 mapsedge Illyrians +24%Illyrians · 22 maps
InfernoNuclear TigeRES pick
71%50%
Nuclear TigeRES · 17 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +21%Illyrians · 2 maps
CacheNuclear TigeRES ban
60%69%
Nuclear TigeRES · 6 mapsedge Illyrians +9%Illyrians · 12 maps
NukeIllyrians ban
56%40%
Nuclear TigeRES · 14 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +16%Illyrians · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
2. BanIllyrians remove Nuke
3. PickNuclear TigeRES take Inferno
4. PickIllyrians take Dust2
5. BanIllyrians remove Ancient
6. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Cache
DeciderAnubis (58% / 70%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
Nuclear TigeRES 50%Illyrians 50%
The model gave 50% on Illyrians — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Ancientprediction correct13:3
Nuclear TigeRES 69%Illyrians 31%
The model gave 69% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteNuclear TigeRES · 70%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2