CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
ODDIK#140 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ALKA#129 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ODDIK pick
50%58%
ODDIK · 8 mapsedge ALKA +8%ALKA · 15 maps
AncientALKA pick
50%47%
ODDIK · 4 mapsnearly even +3%ALKA · 13 maps
MirageALKA ban
73%55%
ODDIK · 7 mapsedge ODDIK +18%ALKA · 7 maps
Nukepossible decider
71%55%
ODDIK · 3 mapsedge ODDIK +16%ALKA · 7 maps
CacheODDIK ban
50%56%
ODDIK · 4 mapsedge ALKA +6%ALKA · 5 maps
InfernoODDIK ban
50%67%
ODDIK · 0 mapsedge ALKA +17%ALKA · 8 maps
AnubisALKA ban
71%50%
ODDIK · 3 mapsedge ODDIK +21%ALKA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanODDIK remove Inferno
2. BanALKA remove Anubis
3. PickODDIK take Dust2
4. PickALKA take Ancient
5. BanALKA remove Mirage
6. BanODDIK remove Cache
DeciderNuke (71% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:1
ODDIK 66%ALKA 34%
The model gave 66% on ODDIK — the map was taken by ODDIK.
Cacheprediction missed13:1
ODDIK 47%ALKA 53%
The model gave 53% on ALKA — the map was taken by ODDIK.
Model check result
Model favoriteODDIK · 50%
Series resultODDIK 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2