CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
OG#203 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2OG pick
73%58%
OG · 11 mapsedge OG +15%ex-Zero Tenacity · 15 maps
Nukeex-Zero Tenacity pick
33%56%
OG · 8 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +23%ex-Zero Tenacity · 12 maps
MirageOG ban
58%64%
OG · 8 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +6%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
45%50%
OG · 7 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +5%ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 maps
CacheOG ban
29%75%
OG · 3 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +46%ex-Zero Tenacity · 8 maps
Overpassex-Zero Tenacity ban
56%44%
OG · 5 mapsedge OG +12%ex-Zero Tenacity · 5 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
60%50%
OG · 6 mapsedge OG +10%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOG remove Cache
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickOG take Dust2
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Nuke
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Overpass
6. BanOG remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (45% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct7:13
OG 11%ex-Zero Tenacity 89%
The model gave 89% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
OG 69%ex-Zero Tenacity 31%
The model gave 69% on OG — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 63%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2