WINLINE MPKBK CIS LAN Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega#148 in the world · win 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2krytiepacani ban
71%50%
Omega · 13 mapsedge Omega +21%krytiepacani · 0 maps
AncientOmega ban
40%50%
Omega · 6 mapsedge krytiepacani +10%krytiepacani · 0 maps
Miragekrytiepacani ban
60%50%
Omega · 6 mapsedge Omega +10%krytiepacani · 0 maps
InfernoOmega pick
56%50%
Omega · 5 mapsedge Omega +6%krytiepacani · 0 maps
CacheOmega ban
50%50%
Omega · 4 mapsnearly even +0%krytiepacani · 0 maps
Nukekrytiepacani pick
43%50%
Omega · 3 mapsedge krytiepacani +7%krytiepacani · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOmega remove Ancient
2. Bankrytiepacani remove Dust2
3. PickOmega take Inferno
4. Pickkrytiepacani take Nuke
5. Bankrytiepacani remove Mirage
6. BanOmega remove Cache
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:2
Omega 40%krytiepacani 60%
The model gave 60% on krytiepacani — the map was taken by Omega.
Infernoprediction correct13:10
Omega 58%krytiepacani 42%
The model gave 58% on Omega — the map was taken by Omega.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega · 61%
Series resultOmega 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2