CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 2 Finals · BO3
result vs prediction
Omega#138 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PRIVATE#51 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Omega pick
59%73%
Omega · 18 mapsedge PRIVATE +14%PRIVATE · 7 maps
MiragePRIVATE pick
64%69%
Omega · 7 mapsedge PRIVATE +5%PRIVATE · 9 maps
CachePRIVATE ban
45%36%
Omega · 7 mapsedge Omega +9%PRIVATE · 7 maps
AncientOmega ban
30%70%
Omega · 6 mapsedge PRIVATE +40%PRIVATE · 6 maps
Nukepossible decider
57%50%
Omega · 3 mapsedge Omega +7%PRIVATE · 4 maps
InfernoPRIVATE ban
67%50%
Omega · 5 mapsedge Omega +17%PRIVATE · 0 maps
AnubisOmega ban
50%63%
Omega · 0 mapsedge PRIVATE +13%PRIVATE · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOmega remove Anubis
2. BanPRIVATE remove Inferno
3. PickOmega take Dust2
4. PickPRIVATE take Mirage
5. BanPRIVATE remove Cache
6. BanOmega remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
Omega 14%PRIVATE 86%
The model gave 86% on PRIVATE — the map was taken by PRIVATE.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
Omega 38%PRIVATE 62%
The model gave 62% on PRIVATE — the map was taken by PRIVATE.
Model check result
Model favoritePRIVATE · 71%
Series resultPRIVATE 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2