CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Oramond#119 in the world · win 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Leo#89 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisOramond pick
57%44%
Oramond · 3 mapsedge Oramond +13%Leo · 5 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%57%
Oramond · 4 mapsedge Leo +7%Leo · 3 maps
MirageOramond ban
50%60%
Oramond · 4 mapsedge Leo +10%Leo · 1 map
NukeLeo ban
33%40%
Oramond · 2 mapsedge Leo +7%Leo · 1 map
AncientOramond ban
50%33%
Oramond · 0 mapsedge Oramond +17%Leo · 2 maps
DefaultLeo pick
60%50%
Oramond · 1 mapedge Oramond +10%Leo · 0 maps
InfernoLeo ban
60%50%
Oramond · 1 mapedge Oramond +10%Leo · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOramond remove Ancient
2. BanLeo remove Inferno
3. PickOramond take Anubis
4. PickLeo take Default
5. BanLeo remove Nuke
6. BanOramond remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
Oramond 64%Leo 36%
The model gave 64% on Oramond — the map was taken by Oramond.
Anubisprediction correct13:2
Oramond 65%Leo 35%
The model gave 65% on Oramond — the map was taken by Oramond.
Model check result
Model favoriteOramond · 58%
Series resultOramond 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2