CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Oxuji#173 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
brazylijski luz#146 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientbrazylijski luz pick
67%40%
Oxuji · 8 mapsedge Oxuji +27%brazylijski luz · 16 maps
Dust2brazylijski luz ban
44%46%
Oxuji · 14 mapsnearly even -2%brazylijski luz · 9 maps
NukeOxuji pick
63%58%
Oxuji · 15 mapsedge Oxuji +5%brazylijski luz · 8 maps
MirageOxuji ban
55%50%
Oxuji · 7 mapsedge Oxuji +5%brazylijski luz · 10 maps
Infernobrazylijski luz ban
33%40%
Oxuji · 8 mapsedge brazylijski luz +7%brazylijski luz · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
75%57%
Oxuji · 4 mapsedge Oxuji +18%brazylijski luz · 3 maps
AnubisOxuji ban
43%57%
Oxuji · 3 mapsedge brazylijski luz +14%brazylijski luz · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanOxuji remove Anubis
2. Banbrazylijski luz remove Inferno
3. PickOxuji take Nuke
4. Pickbrazylijski luz take Ancient
5. Banbrazylijski luz remove Dust2
6. BanOxuji remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (75% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
Oxuji 73%brazylijski luz 27%
The model gave 73% on Oxuji — the map was taken by brazylijski luz.
Nukeprediction missed10:13
Oxuji 58%brazylijski luz 42%
The model gave 58% on Oxuji — the map was taken by brazylijski luz.
Model check result
Model favoriteOxuji · 59%
Series resultbrazylijski luz 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2