CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageQUINTESSÊNCIA pick
44%60%
paiN Academy · 12 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +16%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
Dust2possible decider
40%60%
paiN Academy · 11 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +20%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
NukepaiN Academy ban
38%50%
paiN Academy · 9 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +12%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 0 maps
AnubispaiN Academy pick
58%50%
paiN Academy · 8 mapsedge paiN Academy +8%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 0 maps
CacheQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
45%60%
paiN Academy · 7 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +15%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
InfernopaiN Academy ban
45%60%
paiN Academy · 7 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +15%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
DefaultQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
71%50%
paiN Academy · 3 mapsedge paiN Academy +21%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
2. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Default
3. PickpaiN Academy take Anubis
4. PickQUINTESSÊNCIA take Mirage
5. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Cache
6. BanpaiN Academy remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (40% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct10:13
paiN Academy 33%QUINTESSÊNCIA 67%
The model gave 67% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by QUINTESSÊNCIA.
Anubisprediction correct13:4
paiN Academy 61%QUINTESSÊNCIA 39%
The model gave 61% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
paiN Academy 31%QUINTESSÊNCIA 69%
The model gave 69% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by QUINTESSÊNCIA.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN Academy · 57%
Series resultQUINTESSÊNCIA 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3