CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageSementes do Mal ban
47%29%
paiN Academy · 15 mapsedge paiN Academy +18%Sementes do Mal · 3 maps
Dust2possible decider
47%33%
paiN Academy · 13 mapsedge paiN Academy +14%Sementes do Mal · 2 maps
CacheSementes do Mal pick
38%33%
paiN Academy · 9 mapsedge paiN Academy +5%Sementes do Mal · 5 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
43%50%
paiN Academy · 10 mapsedge Sementes do Mal +7%Sementes do Mal · 0 maps
AnubisSementes do Mal ban
50%50%
paiN Academy · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Sementes do Mal · 0 maps
InfernopaiN Academy ban
27%40%
paiN Academy · 7 mapsedge Sementes do Mal +13%Sementes do Mal · 1 map
DefaultpaiN Academy pick
75%43%
paiN Academy · 4 mapsedge paiN Academy +32%Sementes do Mal · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
2. BanSementes do Mal remove Mirage
3. PickpaiN Academy take Default
4. PickSementes do Mal take Cache
5. BanSementes do Mal remove Anubis
6. BanpaiN Academy remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (47% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
paiN Academy 80%Sementes do Mal 20%
The model gave 80% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by Sementes do Mal.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN Academy · 50%
Series resultSementes do Mal 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1