FERJEE In House Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN#29 in the world · win 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Galorys#68 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2paiN pick
64%58%
paiN · 10 mapsedge paiN +6%Galorys · 15 maps
AncientpaiN ban
50%83%
paiN · 0 mapsedge Galorys +33%Galorys · 20 maps
NukepaiN ban
47%64%
paiN · 11 mapsedge Galorys +17%Galorys · 7 maps
InfernoGalorys ban
36%33%
paiN · 10 mapsnearly even +3%Galorys · 5 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%46%
paiN · 4 mapsnearly even +4%Galorys · 9 maps
CacheGalorys pick
27%60%
paiN · 7 mapsedge Galorys +33%Galorys · 6 maps
MirageGalorys ban
50%50%
paiN · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Galorys · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN remove Ancient
2. BanGalorys remove Mirage
3. PickpaiN take Dust2
4. PickGalorys take Cache
5. BanGalorys remove Inferno
6. BanpaiN remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (50% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:9
paiN 18%Galorys 82%
The model gave 82% on Galorys — the map was taken by paiN.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
paiN 60%Galorys 40%
The model gave 60% on paiN — the map was taken by paiN.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN · 74%
Series resultpaiN 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2