Circuit X Curitiba Season 4 · BO3
pre-match prediction
paiN#32 in the worldseries probability
43%57%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
BBARCA
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MiragepaiN ban
46%50%
paiN · 9 mapsnearly even -4%BARCA · 0 maps
Dust2BARCA ban
67%50%
paiN · 8 mapsedge paiN +17%BARCA · 0 maps
NukepaiN pick
50%50%
paiN · 8 mapsnearly even +0%BARCA · 0 maps
CachepaiN ban
36%50%
paiN · 7 mapsedge BARCA +14%BARCA · 0 maps
InfernoBARCA pick
27%50%
paiN · 7 mapsedge BARCA +23%BARCA · 0 maps
AnubisBARCA ban
50%50%
paiN · 4 mapsnearly even +0%BARCA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN remove Cache
2. BanBARCA remove Dust2
3. PickpaiN take Nuke
4. PickBARCA take Inferno
5. BanBARCA remove Anubis
6. BanpaiN remove Mirage