FERJEE In House Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
paiN#29 in the world · win 2:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Turma do Pagode#91 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2paiN pick
58%53%
paiN · 8 mapsedge paiN +5%Turma do Pagode · 11 maps
InfernopaiN ban
36%50%
paiN · 10 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +14%Turma do Pagode · 4 maps
NukeTurma do Pagode ban
47%43%
paiN · 11 mapsnearly even +4%Turma do Pagode · 3 maps
AncientTurma do Pagode pick
50%63%
paiN · 0 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +13%Turma do Pagode · 12 maps
MirageTurma do Pagode ban
50%50%
paiN · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Turma do Pagode · 2 maps
CachepaiN ban
20%60%
paiN · 6 mapsedge Turma do Pagode +40%Turma do Pagode · 1 map
Anubispossible decider
43%33%
paiN · 3 mapsedge paiN +10%Turma do Pagode · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanpaiN remove Cache
2. BanTurma do Pagode remove Mirage
3. PickpaiN take Dust2
4. PickTurma do Pagode take Ancient
5. BanTurma do Pagode remove Nuke
6. BanpaiN remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (43% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:10
paiN 57%Turma do Pagode 43%
The model gave 57% on paiN — the map was taken by paiN.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
paiN 58%Turma do Pagode 42%
The model gave 58% on paiN — the map was taken by paiN.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN · 83%
Series resultpaiN 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2