Esports World Cup 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
PARIVISION#20 in the world · loss 11:13series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 11:13
B8#15 in the world · win 13:11The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientB8 ban
64%55%
PARIVISION · 7 mapsedge PARIVISION +9%B8 · 16 maps
MirageB8 ban
50%33%
PARIVISION · 6 mapsedge PARIVISION +17%B8 · 11 maps
Dust2possible decider
64%64%
PARIVISION · 7 mapsnearly even +0%B8 · 7 maps
InfernoB8 ban
25%50%
PARIVISION · 4 mapsedge B8 +25%B8 · 4 maps
OverpassPARIVISION ban
40%56%
PARIVISION · 1 mapedge B8 +16%B8 · 5 maps
NukePARIVISION ban
50%57%
PARIVISION · 0 mapsedge B8 +7%B8 · 3 maps
CachePARIVISION ban
33%50%
PARIVISION · 2 mapsedge B8 +17%B8 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPARIVISION remove Nuke
2. BanB8 remove Inferno
3. BanPARIVISION remove Overpass
4. BanB8 remove Mirage
5. BanPARIVISION remove Cache
6. BanB8 remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (64% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
PARIVISION 33%B8 67%
The model gave 67% on B8 — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 57%
Series resultB8 11:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1