XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISION#11 in the world · win 2:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:1
MIBR#12 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientPARIVISION pick
45%44%
PARIVISION · 7 mapsnearly even +1%MIBR · 5 maps
Miragepossible decider
44%60%
PARIVISION · 5 mapsedge MIBR +16%MIBR · 6 maps
InfernoPARIVISION ban
25%38%
PARIVISION · 4 mapsedge MIBR +13%MIBR · 4 maps
Dust2MIBR ban
64%50%
PARIVISION · 7 mapsedge PARIVISION +14%MIBR · 0 maps
AnubisMIBR pick
40%67%
PARIVISION · 1 mapedge MIBR +27%MIBR · 2 maps
NukePARIVISION ban
50%57%
PARIVISION · 0 mapsedge MIBR +7%MIBR · 3 maps
OverpassMIBR ban
40%40%
PARIVISION · 1 mapnearly even +0%MIBR · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPARIVISION remove Nuke
2. BanMIBR remove Dust2
3. PickPARIVISION take Ancient
4. PickMIBR take Anubis
5. BanMIBR remove Overpass
6. BanPARIVISION remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (44% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:16
PARIVISION 23%MIBR 77%
The model gave 77% on MIBR — the map was taken by MIBR.
Ancientprediction correct13:4
PARIVISION 54%MIBR 46%
The model gave 54% on PARIVISION — the map was taken by PARIVISION.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
PARIVISION 35%MIBR 65%
The model gave 65% on MIBR — the map was taken by PARIVISION.
Model check result
Model favoriteMIBR · 57%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3