CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
PCIFIC#135 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2PCIFIC pick
57%54%
PCIFIC · 24 mapsnearly even +3%Lavked · 24 maps
Nukepossible decider
41%45%
PCIFIC · 18 mapsnearly even -4%Lavked · 18 maps
MiragePCIFIC ban
50%35%
PCIFIC · 8 mapsedge PCIFIC +15%Lavked · 22 maps
AnubisLavked pick
27%50%
PCIFIC · 11 mapsedge Lavked +23%Lavked · 10 maps
AncientPCIFIC ban
50%38%
PCIFIC · 0 mapsedge PCIFIC +12%Lavked · 17 maps
InfernoLavked ban
46%36%
PCIFIC · 9 mapsedge PCIFIC +10%Lavked · 7 maps
CacheLavked ban
64%40%
PCIFIC · 7 mapsedge PCIFIC +24%Lavked · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPCIFIC remove Ancient
2. BanLavked remove Cache
3. PickPCIFIC take Dust2
4. PickLavked take Anubis
5. BanLavked remove Inferno
6. BanPCIFIC remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (41% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct8:13
PCIFIC 29%Lavked 71%
The model gave 71% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
PCIFIC 63%Lavked 37%
The model gave 63% on PCIFIC — the map was taken by Lavked.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 51%
Series resultLavked 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2