CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Procyon#119 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Procyon ban
60%38%
Peladona · 1 mapedge Peladona +22%Procyon · 9 maps
MirageProcyon pick
60%67%
Peladona · 1 mapedge Procyon +7%Procyon · 5 maps
InfernoPeladona ban
50%56%
Peladona · 0 mapsedge Procyon +6%Procyon · 5 maps
AncientPeladona pick
50%38%
Peladona · 0 mapsedge Peladona +12%Procyon · 4 maps
NukeProcyon ban
50%38%
Peladona · 0 mapsedge Peladona +12%Procyon · 4 maps
AnubisPeladona ban
50%43%
Peladona · 0 mapsedge Peladona +7%Procyon · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
Peladona · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Procyon · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPeladona remove Anubis
2. BanProcyon remove Dust2
3. PickPeladona take Ancient
4. PickProcyon take Mirage
5. BanProcyon remove Nuke
6. BanPeladona remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:5
Peladona 42%Procyon 58%
The model gave 58% on Procyon — the map was taken by Peladona.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
Peladona 73%Procyon 27%
The model gave 73% on Peladona — the map was taken by Peladona.
Model check result
Model favoritePeladona · 58%
Series resultPeladona 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2