ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Permitta#102 in the world · win 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
WBT Academy#120 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukePermitta pick
38%40%
Permitta · 9 mapsnearly even -2%WBT Academy · 1 map
Ancientpossible decider
38%50%
Permitta · 9 mapsedge WBT Academy +12%WBT Academy · 0 maps
MiragePermitta ban
55%50%
Permitta · 7 mapsedge Permitta +5%WBT Academy · 0 maps
CacheWBT Academy ban
70%50%
Permitta · 6 mapsedge Permitta +20%WBT Academy · 0 maps
AnubisWBT Academy ban
63%40%
Permitta · 4 mapsedge Permitta +23%WBT Academy · 1 map
Dust2Permitta ban
25%50%
Permitta · 4 mapsedge WBT Academy +25%WBT Academy · 0 maps
DefaultWBT Academy pick
33%50%
Permitta · 2 mapsedge WBT Academy +17%WBT Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPermitta remove Dust2
2. BanWBT Academy remove Cache
3. PickPermitta take Nuke
4. PickWBT Academy take Default
5. BanWBT Academy remove Anubis
6. BanPermitta remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (38% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
Permitta 51%WBT Academy 49%
The model gave 51% on Permitta — the map was taken by Permitta.
Anubisprediction correct16:13
Permitta 69%WBT Academy 31%
The model gave 69% on Permitta — the map was taken by Permitta.
Model check result
Model favoritePermitta · 51%
Series resultPermitta 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2