CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Phantom Academy#174 in the world · win 2:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bebop pick
43%41%
Phantom Academy · 10 mapsnearly even +2%Bebop · 18 maps
MiragePhantom Academy pick
67%33%
Phantom Academy · 14 mapsedge Phantom Academy +34%Bebop · 11 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%38%
Phantom Academy · 10 mapsedge Phantom Academy +12%Bebop · 12 maps
CachePhantom Academy ban
33%44%
Phantom Academy · 11 mapsedge Bebop +11%Bebop · 5 maps
AncientBebop ban
47%50%
Phantom Academy · 11 mapsnearly even -3%Bebop · 0 maps
DefaultPhantom Academy ban
40%56%
Phantom Academy · 6 mapsedge Bebop +16%Bebop · 5 maps
AnubisBebop ban
43%36%
Phantom Academy · 3 mapsedge Phantom Academy +7%Bebop · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPhantom Academy remove Cache
2. BanBebop remove Ancient
3. PickPhantom Academy take Mirage
4. PickBebop take Dust2
5. BanBebop remove Anubis
6. BanPhantom Academy remove Default
DeciderNuke (50% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Phantom Academy 49%Bebop 51%
The model gave 51% on Bebop — the map was taken by Bebop.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
Phantom Academy 82%Bebop 18%
The model gave 82% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
Phantom Academy 63%Bebop 37%
The model gave 63% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom Academy · 54%
Series resultPhantom Academy 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3