AR3NA Epicbet Open Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Phantom Academy#173 in the world · win 2:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoPhantom Academy ban
40%60%
Phantom Academy · 1 mapedge DH Premium +20%DH Premium · 1 map
MirageDH Premium ban
50%50%
Phantom Academy · 2 mapsnearly even +0%DH Premium · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPhantom Academy remove Inferno
2. BanDH Premium remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:8
Phantom Academy 47%DH Premium 53%
The model gave 53% on DH Premium — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
Phantom Academy 53%DH Premium 47%
The model gave 53% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom Academy · 51%
Series resultPhantom Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2