CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Phantom Academy#182 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Cacheex-Zero Tenacity pick
38%75%
Phantom Academy · 4 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +37%ex-Zero Tenacity · 16 maps
Dust2Phantom Academy ban
50%59%
Phantom Academy · 2 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +9%ex-Zero Tenacity · 13 maps
MiragePhantom Academy pick
75%60%
Phantom Academy · 8 mapsedge Phantom Academy +15%ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 maps
Nukeex-Zero Tenacity ban
63%57%
Phantom Academy · 4 mapsedge Phantom Academy +6%ex-Zero Tenacity · 10 maps
Defaultpossible decider
43%55%
Phantom Academy · 3 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +12%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Anubisex-Zero Tenacity ban
60%55%
Phantom Academy · 1 mapedge Phantom Academy +5%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
InfernoPhantom Academy ban
50%75%
Phantom Academy · 0 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +25%ex-Zero Tenacity · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPhantom Academy remove Inferno
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Anubis
3. PickPhantom Academy take Mirage
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Cache
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Nuke
6. BanPhantom Academy remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (43% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct7:13
Phantom Academy 15%ex-Zero Tenacity 85%
The model gave 85% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Nukeprediction missed13:16
Phantom Academy 58%ex-Zero Tenacity 42%
The model gave 58% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 69%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2