CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Phantom Academy#173 in the world · win 2:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Illyrians#144 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MiragePhantom Academy pick
76%69%
Phantom Academy · 13 mapsedge Phantom Academy +7%Illyrians · 9 maps
Dust2Illyrians pick
45%42%
Phantom Academy · 7 mapsnearly even +3%Illyrians · 8 maps
AncientPhantom Academy ban
43%63%
Phantom Academy · 10 mapsedge Illyrians +20%Illyrians · 4 maps
CacheIllyrians ban
42%33%
Phantom Academy · 8 mapsedge Phantom Academy +9%Illyrians · 2 maps
NukeIllyrians ban
54%40%
Phantom Academy · 9 mapsedge Phantom Academy +14%Illyrians · 1 map
AnubisPhantom Academy ban
43%71%
Phantom Academy · 3 mapsedge Illyrians +28%Illyrians · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
Phantom Academy · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Illyrians · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPhantom Academy remove Anubis
2. BanIllyrians remove Nuke
3. PickPhantom Academy take Mirage
4. PickIllyrians take Dust2
5. BanIllyrians remove Cache
6. BanPhantom Academy remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
Phantom Academy 51%Illyrians 49%
The model gave 51% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
Phantom Academy 62%Illyrians 38%
The model gave 62% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Illyrians.
Ancientprediction missed13:1
Phantom Academy 31%Illyrians 69%
The model gave 69% on Illyrians — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteIllyrians · 59%
Series resultPhantom Academy 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3