CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Phantom#88 in the world · win 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BRUTE#74 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Phantom pick
70%67%
Phantom · 6 mapsnearly even +3%BRUTE · 8 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%50%
Phantom · 6 mapsnearly even +0%BRUTE · 6 maps
InfernoPhantom ban
50%42%
Phantom · 0 mapsedge Phantom +8%BRUTE · 8 maps
NukeBRUTE ban
63%50%
Phantom · 4 mapsedge Phantom +13%BRUTE · 4 maps
OverpassBRUTE pick
50%80%
Phantom · 2 mapsedge BRUTE +30%BRUTE · 6 maps
AncientBRUTE ban
44%50%
Phantom · 5 mapsedge BRUTE +6%BRUTE · 0 maps
AnubisPhantom ban
50%40%
Phantom · 0 mapsedge Phantom +10%BRUTE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPhantom remove Inferno
2. BanBRUTE remove Ancient
3. PickPhantom take Dust2
4. PickBRUTE take Overpass
5. BanBRUTE remove Nuke
6. BanPhantom remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
Phantom 65%BRUTE 35%
The model gave 65% on Phantom — the map was taken by Phantom.
Mirageprediction missed13:4
Phantom 47%BRUTE 53%
The model gave 53% on BRUTE — the map was taken by Phantom.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom · 61%
Series resultPhantom 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2